Bayesian prognosis analysis of human papillomavirus-associated head and neck cancer using hierarchical Dirichlet process mixture models
Author: Ying Liao, Ning Dong, Yisha XiangAbstract: The incidence and prognosis of Head and Neck Cancer (HNC) depend heavily on patients’ Human PapillomaVirus (HPV) status. Prognosis analysis of HPV-associated HNC is of clinical importance because in-depth understanding of the survival distribution is valuable for designing more informed treatment strategies. In this article, we develop a novel Hierarchical ...
Consumption Dynamics with Law of Small Numbers
Author: Yingjie Niu, Yaoyao Wu, Siqi Zhao, Zhentao ZouAbstract: We propose an intertemporal consumption-saving model by exploring the implications of the Law of Small Numbers (LSN), a belief heuristic stating that any sample realization of a population should be representative of the population. First, the existence of the LSN reduces the precautionary savings demand. More importantly, we show that ...
Robust Abatement Policy with Uncertainty About Environmental Disasters
Author: Yingjie Niu, Zhentao ZouAbstract: We consider the robust responses to environmental disasters in stochastic growth economies. The representative agent has imprecise knowledge about environmental disasters and exhibits ambiguity aversion to the jump arrival intensity. In the equilibrium, the optimal abatement expenditure is increasing in the level of ambiguity aversion, which overturns the effect ...
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